Could Liz Truss’s resignation as PM mean the return of Boris Johnson? Don’t bet on it
By next Friday, and possibly sooner, Britain will have its third Prime Minister so far in 2022 — its fifth since the Brexit vote in 2016 — and still no certainty that its unprecedented political crisis is on its way to being resolved
Whatever happens, it’s a mess,
said pollster Joe Twyman of Deltapoll. It’s very difficult to see how a [Conservative] Party as divided and fractious as this can unite behind one candidate
Liz Truss’s dramatic resignation as Prime Minister (new window) Thursday — just 44 days after winning the leadership — makes her the shortest serving PM in British history. And the just-beginning leadership race that’s set to pick a successor in just seven days, will also make this the fastest turnover of power the country has ever witnessed
LIZ TRUSS ANNOUNCES RESIGNATION
8 hours agoDuration1:36Saying ‘I cannot deliver the mandate on which I was elected by the Conservative Party,’ British Prime Minister Liz Truss says she is stepping down just six weeks after taking office
We can’t have a revolving door of chaos,
said opposition leader Keir Starmer, whose Labour Party weighed in with a 36 point lead over the Conservatives in a recent poll, the biggest gap recorded in almost thirty years
This isn’t a soap opera at the top of the Tory party — it’s doing huge damage to our economy and the reputation of our country,
he said
Starmer and other opposition MPs are demanding an immediate general election, which would, in all likelihood, lead to a Conservative decimation, and so the Tories will forge ahead with yet another leadership contest
Unless called earlier, the next general election is not set to take place until January 2025
This is the last chance saloon for the Conservative Party,
said Catherine Haddon, a senior fellow at London’s Institute for Government
Unless you can actually bring your party together, get votes through Parliament, and be able to have a functioning government, you’re not showing you can govern. And if you can’t do that, the only option is a general election
Truss’s budget woes
It was only a few weeks ago that a campaigning Truss promised party members policies that would tame soaring inflation. She vowed to slash taxes for the wealthy and promised relief from sky-high energy bills
But financial markets hated the debt-laden budget crafted by Truss and her former Chancellor of the Exchequer, or finance minister, Kwasi Kwarteng
It sent the pound plummeting and mortgage rates soaring. The health of public pension plans were suddenly in jeopardy, prompting a momentous intervention of bond buying from the Bank of England in an attempt to head off a full blown economic meltdown
Last week, Truss fired Kwarteng and tried to right the ship with a new finance minister, Jeremy Hunt. He reversed almost every one of the controversial budget measures, but Truss’s death spiral only intensified
Rishi Sunak, the former finance minister whose resignation played a role in the downfall of former Prime Minister Boris Johnson, finished second to Truss in the most recent leadership contest and is the bookmakers favourite
Supporters say he’s interested, but he hasn’t tipped his hand
There’s also Penny Mordaunt, leader of the House of Commons and a member of Truss’s cabinet. She finished just behind Sunak in this summer’s leadership race and could be a compromise candidate
‘IT’S A MESS,’ SAYS POLITICAL ANALYST OF BRITISH CONSERVATIVE PARTY
6 hours agoDuration5:41Despite the resignation of British Prime Minister Liz Truss, it’s difficult to see how any successor could unite the Conservative Party, appeal to the electorate and steer the U.K. through its current economic turmoil, says pollster and political analyst Joe Twyman
?Could Boris bounce back
But by far the most intriguing scenario would see Johnson himself attempt an act of political resurrection and try to get his old job back
When he spoke for the last time outside 10 Downing Street in early September, using typical Boris Johnson metaphors, he described his tenure as PM as being like a booster rocket
that had done its part and was now falling back to Earth, its fuel spent
But that hasn’t stopped his longtime allies from quickly raising his name as a possible successor to Truss
If Liz Truss is no longer PM there can be no coronation of previously failed candidates. MPs must demand the return of @BorisJohnson,
tweeted Nadine Dorries, a former cabinet minister under Johnson
Other Conservative MPs were effusive before the TV cameras
I know he’s on holiday with his family, but if he’s listening there’s certainly a lot of support and I’d urge him to put his name forward,
Conservative MP Brendan Clark-Smith told the BBC
While a Johnson comeback can’t be ruled out, detractors are already saying it would lead to resignations
MP John Baron told BBC’s Radio 4 it would be impossible
to serve with Johnson as leader again — and other veteran political watchers also see it as unlikely
Many of the mistakes that led to him resigning in the first place are a result of his personality flaws, and I can’t imagine anyone will be particularly convinced that he’s changed.- Analyst Joe Twyman on Boris Johnson
If the last eight years of craziness in British politics have told us anything it’s that nothing is impossible — but it has to be a unity candidate and [Johnson] divided the party,
said Twyman of Deltapoll
Many of the mistakes that led to him resigning in the first place are a result of his personality flaws, and I can’t imagine anyone will be particularly convinced that he’s changed
Tory troubles trace back to Brexit
Much of the Conservative Party’s current troubles can be traced back to the fallout from former prime minister David Cameron’s decision to hold a vote on exiting the European Union in 2016
The Brexit
forces scored a surprising 52 per cent to 48 per cent victory, but it turned out to be a pyrrhic win, says Haddon, the political analyst
I think definitely this is a ripple effect of Brexit. It did huge damage to the Conservative Party in terms of opening up very raw wounds of different camps within the party,
she told CBC News in an interview
They had basically the opportunity to find whatever solution to Brexit they could all rally around, but nobody wanted to compromise, nobody wanted to give up the battle
In Sunak’s recent leadership campaign, he shunned the traditional Tory tax-cutting agenda, arguing it would exacerbate the financial hurt faced by Britons. Truss, on the other hand, embraced it — and subsequently paid the price
So does that leave the Conservatives irreparably divided? Perhaps, says Twyman
What has proved successful in the past is that they can unite behind a leader who can win — that has been the overarching philosophy of the Conservative Party for hundreds of years. I do not see a candidate at the moment who can win
The insults, the infighting and the dysfunction might simply be brushed off as political theatre, except that the impact on Britain’s international reputation has been hugely hurtful, says Haddon
The last six years and the many, many farcical scenes, moments of chaos, they’ve all been the same. And people are probably shrugging their shoulders and saying, ‘here we go again’
