{"id":15310,"date":"2023-02-07T15:42:35","date_gmt":"2023-02-07T15:42:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambassadornews.org\/?p=15310"},"modified":"2023-02-07T15:42:40","modified_gmt":"2023-02-07T15:42:40","slug":"building-brigades-canada-nato-allies-struggle-to-shore-up-baltic-defences-against-russian-threat%ef%bf%bc%ef%bf%bc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambassadornews.org\/en\/building-brigades-canada-nato-allies-struggle-to-shore-up-baltic-defences-against-russian-threat%ef%bf%bc%ef%bf%bc\/","title":{"rendered":"Building brigades: Canada, NATO allies struggle to shore up Baltic defences against Russian threat\ufffc\ufffc"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">Canada doesn&#8217;t have enough troops to deploy without resorting to mobilization, report warns<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">The idea\u00a0looks good on paper<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">But converting NATO&#8217;s so-called\u00a0<q>tripwire<\/q>\u00a0forces in the three Baltic countries to fully topped-up fighting brigades \u2014 the kind that could\u00a0withstand\u00a0a\u00a0Russian invasion \u2014\u00a0is proving to be a challenge for the lead nations involved:\u00a0Canada, the United Kingdom and Germany<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">At the last NATO summit in Madrid, leaders of the western military alliance ordered the conversion of battle groups in Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia to full combat brigades with anywhere from 4,000 to 6,000 troops each, depending on the availability of equipment<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">Getting there is proving to be a struggle, according to two recent reports \u2014 one from the U.K. House of Commons, the other from a Warsaw-based international affairs think-tank<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">Since that June NATO summit, journalists have been asking Canadian politicians and military officials when the Canadian-led brigade in Latvia will be created and what it will look like. Their responses have been vague<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">In a recent interview with CBC News, Chief of Defence Staff\u00a0Gen. Wayne Eyre wouldn&#8217;t be pinned down to a precise timeline\u00a0but said\u00a0<q>the first exercise we&#8217;re looking at is in 2024 \u2026 at the brigade level<\/q><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">Which\u00a0means that completing the expansion to brigade level could take Canada two years from start to finish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">And it seems Canada isn&#8217;t the only country struggling with the creation of combat brigades \u2014\u00a0despite the demands of Baltic leaders and the\u00a0political urgency western politicians have attached to the project<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">A research briefing for the British House of Commons noted that the U.K., which leads the NATO mission in Estonia, has two battle groups assigned to the country \u2014 one under the alliance flag, the other deployed bilaterally by former prime minister Boris Johnson in the immediate aftermath of Russia&#8217;s full invasion of Ukraine<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><q>However, in October the Ministry of Defence (MOD) announced that the additional battlegroup will not be replaced in 2023<\/q>\u00a0said the research paper, dated Nov. 21, 2022<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><q>The U.K. will continue to lead the NATO battlegroup. Instead of the additional battlegroup, the U.K. will hold at high readiness the &#8216;balance of a Brigade&#8217; in the U.K., available to deploy if needed<\/q><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-src=\"https:\/\/images.radio-canada.ca\/q_auto,w_700\/v1\/ici-info\/16x9\/militaires-armee-canadienne-lettonie-otan-65767.jpeg\" alt=\"A Canadian soldier at the Adazi military base in Latvia on March 8, 2022.\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" class=\"lazyload\" \/><figcaption>A Canadian soldier at the Adazi military base in Latvia on March 8, 2022.PHOTO:&nbsp;GETTY IMAGES \/ GINTS IVUSKANS<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">The U.K. also promised to\u00a0<q>surge<\/q>\u00a0forces throughout the year to conduct exercises, enhance its headquarters and provide support to the Estonian armed forces<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">The problem \u2014 according to the Centre for Eastern Studies, a Warsaw-based analytics organization \u2014 is that the U.K., like Canada, doesn&#8217;t have enough troops to deploy without resorting to drastic measures like mobilization<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><q>At present \u2014\u00a0and for the foreseeable future \u2014 the British Army is unable to maintain a continuous rotational presence of an entire armoured brigade outside the U.K. without announcing mobilization<\/q>\u00a0says a Centre for Eastern Studies report\u00a0entitled\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.osw.waw.pl\/en\/publikacje\/analyses\/2022-12-06\/expectations-versus-reality-nato-brigades-baltic-states\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Expectations vs. Reality: NATO Brigades in the Baltic States<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">Britain&#8217;s\u00a0<q>3rd Division, intended for operations in the European theater, will only complete the process of restructuring and modernisation by 2030 \u2026 That is why London is unable to assign a specific brigade to Estonia, but can only offer individual subunits<\/q>\u00a0says the report<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"has-text-align-left wp-block-heading\">?How much army does Canada need<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">The report goes on to say that\u00a0<q>Canada also has the problem of deploying an entire brigade without prior mobilization, as its peacetime armed forces consist of only three mechanized brigades<\/q><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">Canada&#8217;s federal\u00a0government is currently re-examining the country&#8217;s defence policy. One of the things being discussed as part of that process is\u00a0the appropriate\u00a0size of the Canadian military, given\u00a0how the global security climate has changed in recent years<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">The Germans, who lead the NATO battle group in Lithuania, are facing their\u00a0own challenge\u00a0\u2014\u00a0namely, their\u00a0commitment of troops to the alliance&#8217;s standing crisis force<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><q>The German Army will not have one fully equipped brigade available until 2023, when it will be on duty with NATO&#8217;s Very High Readiness Joint Task Force (VJTF)<\/q>\u00a0says the Centre for Eastern Studies analysis<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><q>The Bundeswehr will only have one fully modernized division available by 2027, and a further two by 2031. It would thus only be able to permanently deploy one brigade in Lithuania on a rotational basis by around 2026<\/q><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">All of the current battle groups in the region are multinational formations.\u00a0Canada&#8217;s Defence Minister\u00a0Anita Anand\u00a0has said other nations supporting the Canadian-led operation in Latvia are being consulted about what they might contribute<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">The Canadian military&#8217;s operational commander, Vice-Admiral Bob Auchterlonie, said Canada is trying to boost\u00a0the force in Latvia in tandem with its allies<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><q>We are working with the U.K. and the Germans on schedule, and we&#8217;re working with Latvia on a number of things required to actually get there<\/q>\u00a0Auchterlonie said in a recent interview with CBC News<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">In recent months, Lithuania and Estonia in particular have complained about the plan adopted at the Madrid NATO Summit. They say they don&#8217;t want their supporting nations (Germany and the U.K.) to simply rush troops into the countries in the event of an emergency. They want real brigades stationed on their soil, not paper ones<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">Auchterloine said Canada is also trying to decide how many troops should be stationed in Latvia on a rotational basis \u2014 and how many could\u00a0be rushed in through what could be contested waters and airspace in the event of a conflict with Russia<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">And there&#8217;s another problem, according to the Centre for Eastern Studies report<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><q>Despite ongoing diplomatic efforts, none of the Baltic states is in a position to provide the infrastructure necessary to station such forces in the near future<\/q>\u00a0says the report<q>The training grounds and barracks infrastructure is insufficient and needs to be significantly developed<\/q><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"has-text-align-left wp-block-heading\">Allies have time to prepare:&nbsp;Auchterlonie<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">Lithuania has said it will make all of the relevant investments by 2026. Estonia just finished negotiations in London last fall to make that\u00a0happen<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">Auchterlonie said Canada is facing the same space crunch in Latvia. Camp Adazi\u00a0outside of Riga, where the battle group is housed, is\u00a0<q>busting at the seams<\/q>\u00a0adding more tanks and troops is impossible at the moment and a brigade\u00a0<q>simply won&#8217;t fit<\/q>\u00a0he said<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">The allies, he added, have a bit of time<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><q>The Russians are fully committed to Ukraine. In terms of threat immediately, is there an immediate threat of Russia heading this way? I&#8217;d say that, you know, our allies in the Baltic agree that probably that threat is slightly diminished now<\/q>\u00a0Auchterlonie said<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">If the\u00a0crisis in the region escalates, he said, allies will\u00a0want to make sure there are forces available<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><q>But it&#8217;s not going to happen today<\/q>\u00a0he added<q>It&#8217;s not going to happen tomorrow<\/q><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/author\/murray-brewster-1.3769227\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Murray Brewster<\/a>\u00a0\u00b7\u00a0CBC News\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Canada doesn&#8217;t have enough troops to deploy without resorting to mobilization, report warns The idea\u00a0looks good on paper But converting NATO&#8217;s so-called\u00a0tripwire\u00a0forces in the three Baltic countries to fully topped-up fighting brigades \u2014 the kind that could\u00a0withstand\u00a0a\u00a0Russian invasion \u2014\u00a0is proving to be a challenge for the lead nations involved:\u00a0Canada, the United Kingdom and Germany At [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":15311,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"subtitle":"","format":"standard","video":"","gallery":"","source_name":"","source_url":"","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"topbottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"1","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"1","show_post_reading_time":"0","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"0","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"1","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"1","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"0","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-500","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored 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